受美国SPR回购石油影响 油价小幅上涨_环球快报

中国石化新闻网讯 据5月16日量化大宗商品智库网站报道，在美国能源部宣布首次购买石油以开始补充战略石油储备（SPR）后，周二欧洲交易时段原油期货小幅走高，而美国债务上限谈判取得进展的希望也帮助油价巩固了前几个交易日的涨幅。

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将于7月23日洲际交易所布伦特原油期货交易价格为75.30美元/桶(格林威治标准时间8时50分)，周一结算价格为75.23美元/桶。

与此同时，将于6月23日纽约商品交易所西得克萨斯中质原油交易价格为71.18美元/桶，周一收盘价为71.11美元/桶。

在本月初的几次暗示之后，美国能源部表示，它将在8月份开始购买300万桶石油来补充SPR，去年出售了约1.8亿桶石油。

尽管数量相对较少，但这是第一个坚定的承诺，分析师表示，这可能使美国原油价格保持在每桶70美元左右。此前，美国官员曾作出这一价格预期。

国际能源署(IEA)表示，2023年全球石油需求将增加220万桶/天，至平均1.02亿桶/天。此前，国际能源署的增长预测为200万桶/天，油价也得到了支撑。

金融市场对华盛顿就债务上限达成协议的前景也略有乐观，美国财政部长耶伦上周警告说，未能就债务上限达成协议将“造成金融混乱”。

在接受《华尔街日报》采访时，耶伦表示，“我对此充满希望。我认为谈判非常积极。我听说他们在一些领域达成了一致”。

经济学家保罗·克鲁格曼在接受雅虎财经采访时表示，美国债务违约将引发整个金融市场的混乱，而这一警告是在6月份可能达到债务上限的最后期限之前几周发出的。

克鲁格曼说，“如果我们真的出现技术性违约，我们有充分的理由感到恐慌，因为美国政府债务是世界金融市场的基础”。

在其他地方，随着加拿大的野火威胁到其主要产区艾伯塔省，供应中断的担忧加剧。

王佳晶 摘译自 量化大宗商品智库 网站

原文如下：

Oil futures: Prices edge up on US SPR buyback, IEA demand outlook

Crude oil futures in European trading hours Tuesday were marginally higher after the US Department of Energy announced a first purchase to start refilling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, while hopes of progress on US debt-ceiling talks also helped oil consolidate the previous-sessions’ gains.

Jul23 ICE Brent futures were trading at $75.30/b (0850 GMT), compared to Monday’s settle of $75.23/b.

At the same time Jun23NYMEX WTI was trading $71.18/b, versus Monday’s close of $71.11/b.

The Department of Energy, following several hints earlier this month, said it will start replenishing the SPR with a 3 million barrels purchase in August, having sold some 180 million barrels last year.

Although only a relatively small volume, it is the first firm commitment which analysts say could put a floor under US prices at around $70/b, a figure previously flagged by US officials.

Prices also found support after the International Energy Agency said global oil demand will increase by 2.2 million bpd in 2023 to average 102 million bpd, up from its previous growth forecast of 2 million bpd.

Financial markets were also slightly more upbeat on the prospect of Washington reaching agreement on the debt ceiling, after Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned last week that failure to hatch an agreement on the debt ceiling would “produce financial chaos.”.

In latest comments in an interview with The Wall Street Journal, Yellen said: “I’m hopeful. I think the negotiations are very active. I’m told they have found some areas of agreement.”

Chaos

Economist Paul Krugman said in an interview with Yahoo Finance that the US defaulting on its debt would spark chaos across financial markets, with the warning coming just weeks before a possible debt ceiling deadline is reached in June.

"There are pretty good reasons to panic if we actually do have a technical default, because US government debt is the foundation on which world financial markets rest," said Krugman.

Elsewhere, supply disruption concerns rose with the wildfires in Canada threatening its main producing regions in Alberta.